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Plan for the Future

What Rate of Return Should You Target?

What Rate of Return Should You Target?Of course, there’s no guarantee your investments will grow each year. Some years your investments may be up…and other years they’ll be down. How much you earn on your investments over the years is referred to as your "average annual rate of return."

So how much do you need to earn on your investments each year to reach your retirement goals? That depends on how much money you save each year...and how long you have to invest.

The more you save, the lower the return you need to earn.

Have you used our DEFER™ Estimator to see what percentage of your pay to contribute to your retirement
plan? (If you haven’t done this yet, click here.) If you have used this tool, you may have noticed that you could defer different percentages of pay—for different rates of return. For example, if you expect to earn 6.5% on your investments, you may find you need to contribute 8% of your pay. But if you expect to earn more, you could contribute less. So the more you save, the more conservative you can be in your earnings estimate.

The longer you have to invest, the more aggressive you can be.

How much you need to earn depends on how long you have to invest. The longer your time period, the higher the rate of return you may want to target. Earning a little more each year can add up to a lot more after many years, as the chart below shows. Just keep in mind that the higher the rate you target, the more your investments will go up and down.

Say you save $200 a month and...

you average this annual rate of return…

Here’s how much you could have after 30 years.

6.5%

$221,235

8.0%

$298,071

9.3%

$389,854

10.5%

$503,280

12.0%

$698,992

*This example is hypothetical and for illustrative purposes only. Rate of return does not reflect the actual return of any specific investment and is not intended to imply or guarantee future results. Regular investing does not guarantee a profit or protect against a loss in a declining market. Because the value of your investment will fluctuate with market conditions, you should consider your ability to continue investing during periods of low price levels.

So what rate of return should you target?

Use the interactive worksheet below to help you match how long you have to invest with a suggested rate of return.

Choose how long before you retire. Here's the rate of return you may want to target.
  2 to 7 years  
  5 to 12 years  
  8 to 15 years

%

  14 to 20 years  
  20 or more years  

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