Market Volatility
The recent declines in stock markets around the world have tested the confidence
of even the most experienced investors. While short-term volatility is a genuine
risk of stock investing, the boom market of the 1990’s led many to believe
that extended down markets were a thing of the past. Few, if any, predicted the
speed and the depth of the fall, and the fact is no one can be certain of what
the future holds.
Before you react to these unsettling times by changing your retirement savings
strategy, here are a few investment basics to keep in mind:
Maintaining contributions without interruption works for you.
While it may be tempting to temporarily suspend contributions to your savings
plan, such a decision can hurt you. First, you will lose any tax advantages that
such contributions bring. Secondly, you will miss the opportunity to "buy
low." The process of making regular contributions results in what is commonly
called "dollar cost averaging"*. By continuing your savings plan contributions
during down markets, your costs will be relatively lower, thereby enhancing potential
future investment gains.
Regularly rebalance your portfolio in line with investment objectives.
If you haven’t done so recently, it may be time to rebalance your portfolio.
Remind yourself of your original asset allocation decisions. Assuming your personal
situation, goals and time horizon are the same as they were then, rebalance your
assets to adjust for recent market volatility. This will mean transferring more
money into asset classes and investment styles that have had relatively weak performance,
and transferring out of those that have had better performance.
Don't chase performance.
Making investment decisions based on past performance has proven to be an unsuccessful
investment strategy. Buying funds after they have risen significantly often means
"buying high." Alternatively, selling or transferring out of lower performing
assets, means "locking in your losses," making it likely that you will
miss much of the upswing that often follows a downturn. Most experts agree that
the best way to weather volatile markets is to determine your long-term investment
strategy and stay the course.
Saving for retirement is a long-term proposition.
In the end, it's long-term performance that matters. Historically, the higher
short-term volatility of stocks has translated into higher long-term returns.
This means that time can be your greatest asset. Even if you are close to retirement
age, it's unlikely that you'll need to withdraw all of your savings immediately.
Ultimately, you need to be comfortable with your investment decisions. If the
recent market fluctuations are too much for you to bear, you may have overestimated
your tolerance for risk when originally deciding how to allocate your assets.
Shifting to a more conservative allocation, however, may mean that you will need
to contribute more to the plan in order to meet your retirement goals.
* Dollar cost averaging does not guarantee a profit
and does not insure against losses in declining markets. You
also should consider your ability to continue investing through
periods of high and low price levels.
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